Legal Analyst Breaks Down Claim Bullet That Killed Charlie Kirk Didn’t Match Tyler Robinson’s Rifle

Charlie Kirk’s alleged shooter, Tyler Robinson, is not in the clear despite an inclusive ballistic report, according to Neama Rahmani, a legal analyst and former federal prosecutor.

As the National Enquirer previously reported, the bullet that hit Kirk could not be positively identified as one that matched the Robinson’s rifle per court documents obtained by the Daily Mail.

“It’s not like he’s necessarily going to walk away from this just because there’s an inconclusive ballistics report,” Rahmani told People in an article published Wednesday, April 1. “But it’s certainly a good step in the right direction for the defense.”

Rahmani explained that the prosecution has submitted other evidence, including an alleged admission of guilt Robinson, 22, made on Discord, noting that he thinks the prosecution could “get over reasonable doubt without a conclusive, definitive ballistics report.”

“It happens all the time,” he added, telling the outlet evidence can get degraded, making it challenging to link it to something for sure. “It doesn’t necessarily mean the person is innocent, it doesn’t exclude that firearm.”

While Robinson’s preliminary hearing is scheduled for May, the defense is trying to delay or vacate it, per People. Rahmani noted that, since there is a large amount of evidence to review and testing is not yet complete, it may be pushed back, as he remarked, “The defense has a right to those reports.”

“I would be shocked if we got to trial anytime in 2026,” Rahmani added. “This is probably the most high-profile death penalty case in recent memory.”

On September 10, 2025, Kirk was fatally shot while speaking at Utah Valley University. Less than 36 hours later, Robinson was detained. He has been charged with aggravated murder and other felonies. Robinson will next appear in court on April 17.